Early access · 2026

Scenario planning
that stays alive.

Light on the futures you’re betting on.

Lumorio turns foresight from a workshop activity into a continuous strategic capability. AI agents watch your signposts, flag what moves, and surface the questions your strategy team needs to focus on next.

Scenario Field · AI Governance 2030 Sensing active
Last scan 2h ago 1,200+ sources Q2 review · 8 days
— The problem

Real insight with a three-month half-life.

Organizations spend six figures on scenario planning offsites — executive time, multi-day facilitation, a polished deliverable. Three months later it’s shelfware. Not because the thinking was bad. Because nothing kept it alive.

“We spent weeks on scenarios last year. I couldn’t tell you right now which one we’re tracking toward.”
— Strategy Director, global financial services firm
3mo
Average half-life of scenario insight before operational irrelevance
€250k
Typical engagement cost — paid again next cycle
0%
Of orgs with continuous signpost monitoring after the offsite
— The cycle

A familiar trap.

Scenario planning works. The delivery model is what’s broken — nothing keeps the thinking alive between offsites.

01
Surprise
An unexpected shift disrupts strategy. Leadership demands better foresight.
02
Commission
A consultant engagement is commissioned. Six figures. Three months.
03
Insight
Scenarios are produced. The offsite goes well. The team feels prepared.
04
Evaporation
The consultant leaves. The document ages. No one tracks the signposts.

and the cycle repeats

Marginal cost of adding one scenario question
Traditional
~100%
Another offsite. Another six figures. Another quarter.
Lumorio
~0%
Ask anytime. The framework is already alive.
— How it works

Four layers. One living system.

Layer 01 — Foundation

Scenario backbone

Define your scenario question, key uncertainties, signposts, and shared assumptions. Guided builder for new teams; freeform import for practitioners with their own framework.

Layer 02 — Intelligence

Continuous sensing

AI agents scan the external environment against your signposts. Signals are classified, scored for relevance, and mapped to scenarios — a focused lens, not a firehose.

Signpost monitoring · this week ↑ 14 new signals
SignpostConfidence
EU AI Act enforcement
72%
Open-source model parity
48%
National compute reserves
31%
Corporate governance adoption
84%
Sovereign model deployment
61%
Layer 03 — Synthesis

Provocation engine

The system synthesises signals into strategic questions. It flags blind spots — signals that fit none of your scenarios. Designed for productive discomfort, not information overload.

Blind spot detected Generated from 8 signals

“If open-source models reach frontier capability by 2027, which of your four scenarios still holds?”

Doesn’t fit any of your scenarios · Surfaced this week
→ Convergence signal Generated from 12 signals

“Three independent signals suggest corporate AI governance is accelerating faster than your signpost threshold predicted.”

Pulls toward Regulated Renaissance · Surfaced this week
Layer 04 — Decision

Strategy stress-testing

Test any portfolio decision across every scenario at once. See which bets hold, which ones break, and which need a different posture in each future — before you commit capital.

Asset Green Velocity Fossil Persistence Fragmented
Offshore WindCore
Invest Hold Expand
StorageEmerging
Critical Hold Expand
Legacy GasLegacy
Divest Hold Divest
— The principle

Automate the sensing. Not the sensemaking.

AI is faster than us at scanning, classifying, and surfacing what’s changed. It is worse than us at deciding what it means. Lumorio puts the machine where it belongs — and keeps the strategists where they belong.

Designed for human judgement · Continuous, not episodic · Transparent by default
— Positioning

Adjacent to everything.
Different from all of it.

vs.

Horizon scanning

“Signals without strategy”

Good at watching the world. Weak at connecting signals to your specific strategy.

Lumorio gives scanning a strategic brain — signals connect to your signposts and shift how scenarios move.

vs.

Strategy execution

“Backward-looking”

Tracks what you said you’d do. Doesn’t ask whether your assumptions still hold.

Lumorio looks forward, not backward — it questions whether the ground your OKRs stand on is still solid.

vs.

Foresight firms

“Excellent, then gone”

Produce excellent scenarios. Walk away after the offsite.

Lumorio gives the work an afterlife — a living tool and capability instead of a PDF.

vs.

Risk management

“Known risks only”

Tracks known risks within a stable assumption set.

Lumorio watches for signals that your worldview itself needs to change — not just risks within it.

— Foundation

Built on fifty years of proven methodology.

Lumorio doesn’t invent a new approach to scenario planning. It solves the delivery problem of a proven one.

Proven sensing engine

The AI horizon-scanning core is built and operational today — not a concept. We apply it to the scenario planning problem.

50-year methodological lineage

Scenario planning has a track record — Shell, Schwartz, the IPCC. We build on it, not away from it. The method is proven.

Designed with practitioners

Built with foresight pros, strategy teams, and AI experts. Workflows reflect how serious work actually happens.

Early-access stage

We’re building with a small cohort of founding partners. Serious about keeping scenarios alive? We want to hear from you.

Get started

See the shift before it hits.

Tell us a bit about you and we’ll be in touch about the early-access cohort. Plans start from €1000/month.

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